Raptrix Sentinel · Real-Time Grid Intelligence

Full-fidelity AC contingency analysis
at real-time operational scale.

Sentinel turns the State Estimator case your control room already has into autonomous, recovery-validated contingency intelligence — at a fidelity no EMS or real-time tool delivers today.

Zero disruption to existing workflows · Pilot in weeksEx-NYISO Principal Engineer · Runs alongside your EMS today
5–15min
Real-time cadence
N-200+scale
Screened contingencies
Full ACNR
Strict Q-limit enforcement
.rpfone file
Ops ↔ planning handoff
Low-friction bolt-on · works with existing RAW, PSLF, or native SE exports
The problem

Operators are flying with incomplete instruments.

The tools that screen the grid for contingencies were built around tradeoffs the system can no longer afford. Three of them show up every shift.

DC approximation

The screening throws away the physics that matters.

The industry standard for large-scale contingency screening trades away reactive power and voltage fidelity — exactly the physics that matter most under today’s load growth and IBR penetration.

Stale model snapshots

High-fidelity analysis on a stale model is still stale.

Even full analysis run against a model snapshot is only as good as the model. The live system’s actual dispatch, topology, and load present a different risk profile than any forecast predicts.

Manual contingency lists

Hand-maintained *.con files go stale the moment a breaker opens.

Legacy tools require manually maintained *.con definitions that expire the moment topology changes or equipment returns. Topology changes happen continuously. The lists don’t keep up.

Why now

The grid has changed. The tools haven’t.

01

Grid stress is accelerating

Data centers, EV adoption, and industrial electrification are driving load curves the system was not built to serve. New generation — much of it variable and geographically distributed — is connecting faster than planning models can absorb.

02

The NERC compliance bar is rising

Reliability standards require operators to demonstrate thorough contingency analysis. Regulators increasingly expect operators to show their work — not just that contingencies were screened, but that the screening was comprehensive and the methodology sound.

03

The status quo has a visible ceiling

The limitations of DC approximation are not new knowledge. What has changed is that those limitations now produce consequences visible to operators, planners, and regulators. The question is no longer whether better analysis is desirable — it is whether it is achievable at operational scale.

The breakthrough

For decades, the industry accepted a forced choice. We eliminated it.

Scale or physical fidelity — never both. Raptrix Core removes the tradeoff that defined contingency analysis for a generation.

Solver method
×DC / linear approximation for scale
Full AC Newton-Raphson — no linearization shortcuts
Coverage
×Selective full-AC on pre-screened lists only
Tens of thousands of studies per 5–15 min cycle
Contingency definition
×Static *.con files that go stale instantly
Autonomous topology discovery — no static *.con files
Data source
×Model snapshots, not live SE data
Live State Estimator data — the system right now
Discovery
×Cannot find what it was not told to look for
Surfaces contingencies no prior tool could find
The platform

One engine. Two products.

Sentinel and Forge share the same solver, the same Q-limit enforcement, and the same .rpf interchange — so operations and planning can finally work from the same high-fidelity view of the true grid. Studio makes every finding immediately navigable.

Raptrix Core
The full-AC Newton-Raphson physics engine beneath everything.
C++23Arrow zero-copyLive SE ingestionOpen-source I/O
In productionReal-time grid intelligence

Raptrix Sentinel

Autonomous, recovery-validated N-1 + intelligent N-2 on the live State Estimator case, with auditable certificates.

Roadmap · Q3Look-ahead advisory

Sentinel Phase 2

Same high-fidelity core extended with an integrated LP to position reserves and batteries ahead of expected operating states.

In productionShort-term planning

Raptrix Forge

Outage approval, next-day studies, what-if scenarios, and reliability evaluations on the identical physics engine.

Planned open-sourceFree viewer + editor

Raptrix Studio

The investigation cockpit for any .rpf file. Planned open-source under MPL 2.0 with no model size limits.

Adoption path

We are honest about how this market adopts new tools.

Trust is earned where wrong answers have consequences. Raptrix is built for the deliberate timeline this market requires.

  1. 1Year 0–1

    Entry — no workflow change required

    • Sentinel runs alongside existing tools
    • Findings available for watchlists, escalation, and planning input
    • Full-AC compliance documentation at a scope legacy tools cannot match
    • Sentinel findings passed upstream to Forge
  2. 2Year 1–2

    Confidence — demonstrated accuracy builds trust

    • Track record of accurate findings across topology and operating conditions
    • Sentinel outputs begin to influence operational decisions
    • Forge case library grows across millions of accumulated scenarios
  3. 3Year 2+

    Full value — real limits, real capacity

    • Operators use Sentinel’s real limits to run closer to physical capacity safely
    • Full economic and reliability value of the platform realized
    • Empirically grounded contingency library matures into a planning asset

This is a long sales cycle by startup standards. It is the right cycle for this market, and Raptrix is building for it.

Open architecture

Built to be auditable. Built to interoperate.

In a market where wrong answers have consequences, trust comes from transparency — not proprietary lock-in.

Open-source I/O

Inspect the integration layer yourself.

All ingestion and export mechanisms — PSSE, PSLF, CIM — are fully open-source on GitHub. Customers, auditors, and regulators can inspect, validate, and extend the integration layer.

Standard EMS integration

No custom plugins. No lock-in.

Works with all major EMS vendors via standard file push. Every modern EMS already exports the solved SE case on a timer or button press — no custom plugins, no vendor negotiations.

Auditability by design

Verify methodology, not just outputs.

Every .rpf file embeds the full network state, contingency provenance, solver history, and a deterministic fingerprint. NERC auditors can verify how a result was produced.

Feeds existing planning tools

We make your stack better, not redundant.

Forge does not compete with PSS/E, PowerWorld, or other planning environments. It feeds them empirically grounded contingency data they cannot generate themselves.

A new pattern of work

Every solved State Estimator case
becomes a planning-grade study.

Sentinel ingests the case your EMS already exports every 5–15 minutes and runs exhaustive, provably filtered N-1 and intelligent N-2 analysis at N-200+ scale. From tens of thousands of “what-ifs” it surfaces the small number of unrecoverable scenarios — each with an auditable certificate.

For operators
Real-time, planning-grade visibility no EMS delivers today.
For planners
A growing library of real operating states — not stylized study cases.
Recovery Certificate
sentinel://case/2026-05-22T13:05Z/ctg/L7842-out
Unrecoverable
contingencyN-2 · line + xfmr
case_modesolved · live SE
q_limitsenforced
pv→pq switches3
recovery_window15 min LTE
reserves_availinsufficient
// reason
Voltage collapse at bus 4421 under greedy reserve redispatch;
no admissible control sequence within NERC LTE envelope.
metadata.fingerprint 7c4a9e…b201schema v0.10 · arrow ipc
Sentinel · operational flow

From solved case to recovery certificate.

Every step is automated. Every filter is auditable. Every output is a canonical .rpf your planners can replay.

  1. 01

    Ingest

    Solved SE case every 5–15 min

    RAW, PSLF, or native State Estimator exports — no rip-and-replace.

  2. 02

    Screen

    Provable N-1 + intelligent N-2

    Graph-theory selection augmented by operator-defined guardrails.

  3. 03

    Solve

    Full-AC Newton-Raphson

    Strict Q-limit enforcement and PV-PQ switching. No FDNR shortcuts.

  4. 04

    Recover

    NERC LTE within 15 min

    Greedy reserve dispatch validates a real path back to normal.

  5. 05

    Certify

    Auditable per case

    Every filtering decision is grounded in defensible physics.

  6. 06

    Hand off

    Canonical .rpf out

    One file carries the operating state forward into planning.

The .rpf interchange

A digital briefcase for the whole grid.

Almost everything a utility needs to run both real-time operations and planning studies — in a single fast, reliable, self-describing file. Compact binary, but deliberately built to stay practical for humans.

Designed for real-time cycles

Built for 5–15 min real-time loops and massive planning studies on laptop-grade hardware. Forward + backward compatible. Tamper-resistant by design.

formatApache Arrow IPC
layoutcolumnar · zero-copy
schemaversioned · self-describing
Inside an .rpf

One container. The whole grid.

Apache Arrow IPCcolumnar binaryzero-copyversioned schema
Network model
  • buses
    Full network topology
  • branches
    Lines, transformers, FACTS, PSTs
  • generators
    Limits, ramp rates, PV/PQ
  • shunts / loads
    Discrete steps, control groups
Solved state
  • buses_solved
    V, angle per bus
  • branches_solved
    MW / MVAR flows
  • q_injections
    Q-limit enforcement results
Study + results
  • contingencies
    Native definition + outcomes
  • interfaces
    Transfer limits + violations
NERC L3 modeling
  • computational_load_profiles
    NERC L3 data centers, ramps, guardrails, reductions
Provenance + ownership
  • areas / zones / owners
    Discrete asset ownership
  • provenance
    Who ran it, when, solver iterations, convergence
Open + verifiable

Self-describing schema embedded in every file. Forward + backward compatible.

Tamper-resistant

Deterministic metadata.fingerprint over the canonical data.

Reproducible

Same input → same fingerprint. Easy to sign or verify with standard tools.

NERC Level 3 · Large Loads

Built for the grid that’s arriving — not the one we modeled in 2010.

AI data centers and other large, electronically coupled loads behave nothing like traditional demand. Sentinel treats them as first-class citizens — so operators and planners get a defensible, physics-based view of system risk without waiting on EMS vendor roadmaps.

Voltage sensitivity

Modeled natively at the bus, not assumed away with a generic load.

Up / down ramps

Sub-cycle ramp behavior and load reduction schemes carried in .rpf.

Contingency impact

First-class in N-1 / intelligent N-2 screening and recovery checks.

IBR interaction

PTDF/LODF that’s aware of inverter-based resources, FACTS, and PSTs.

Every operating state Sentinel evaluates ships with the computational-load profile attached — seasonal envelopes, buildout ramps, voltage guardrails, and reduction schemes.

carried in .rpf
Engineering services

Site selection & interconnection studies, with the same physics.

Planning-grade studies for candidate locations and POI/POW decisions — defensible diligence delivered on the same full-AC engine that powers Sentinel and Forge.

Site selection

Candidate-site screening and full-AC diligence aligned to your approval process.

POI / POW

Interconnection and withdrawal studies at planning-grade fidelity with auditable outputs.

Why this exists

Built by someone who knew what was missing.

Raptrix began in 2013 as Kestrel when founder Matthew Musto, a power-systems engineer with 20+ years of grid operations experience, set out to solve contingency analysis the right way — full Newton-Raphson physics with no shortcuts. He spent those years inside the control room as Principal Engineer at NYISO until April 3, 2026, when he left to build Raptrix full-time.

This is not a software company that discovered a grid problem. It is a practitioner who understood the problem from the inside — now leading a growing team shipping the only modern platform that pairs a high-performance C++ solver with real-time contingency analysis (Sentinel) and short-term planning (Forge) on one physics engine.

Disciplined physics

Full-AC Newton-Raphson with strict Q-limit enforcement and intelligent PV-PQ switching — non-negotiable.

Operator-first

Automation that augments operator judgment — never replaces it.

Deploy where you operate

On-prem (RHEL certified), air-gapped, or cloud. No vendor lock-in.

No-cost pilot for qualified teams

Pilot Sentinel on your representative case.

Bring a recent State Estimator export. We will run an exhaustive N-1 + intelligent N-2 with recovery validation and walk through the results with your team — no slide-deck theater.

Early adopter customers
Transmission Operations · Operations Engineering

A pilot engagement on your system — no workflow change, no day-one commitment to act on outputs. Just the chance to see what you have been unable to see.

Technology partners
EMS Vendors · Planning Software Providers

Our open-source I/O layer creates natural interoperability. We are not trying to displace your platform — we are trying to make it better.

Industry thought leaders
Standard-Setting · Grid Policy · Reliability Research

Engagement, validation, and co-authorship of the conversation about what rigorous contingency analysis should look like.

info@raptrixpower.com · Founder direct: matthew.musto@raptrixpower.com · github.com/RaptrixPowerFlow